Nge-hemisphere esenyakatho ngokuthe ngcembe ingena ebusika kunye nokugcinwa kwegesi kwimeko efanelekileyo, kule veki, ezinye iikontraka zegesi zendalo zexesha elifutshane e-United States naseYurophu zamangaliswa ukubona "amaxabiso egesi angalunganga".Ngaba isiphithiphithi esikhulu kwimarike yegesi yendalo yehlabathi sidlulile?
I-International Energy Agency (IEA) isanda kukhupha ingxelo ye-Natural Gas Analysis and Outlook (2022-2025), eyathi nangona imarike yegesi yendalo yaseMntla Melika isasebenza, ukusetyenziswa kwegesi yendalo yehlabathi kulindeleke ukuba yehle nge-0.5% kulo nyaka ngenxa ekunciphiseni imisebenzi yezoqoqosho e-Asia kunye nexabiso eliphezulu lemfuno yegesi yendalo eYurophu.
Kwelinye icala, i-IEA isalumkisa kwimbonakalo yayo yekota yegesi yendalo yokuba iYurophu isazokujongana “nomngcipheko ongazange ubonwe ngaphambili” wokunqongophala kwerhasi yendalo kubusika buka-2022/2023, kwaye icebise ukongiwa kwerhasi.
Ngokuchasene nemvelaphi yokuhla kwemfuno yehlabathi, ukuhla kweYurophu yeyona nto ibalulekileyo.Ingxelo ibonisa ukuba ukususela kulo nyaka, amaxabiso egesi yendalo aye aguquguquka kwaye unikezelo aluzinzile ngenxa yengxabano phakathi kweRashiya ne-Ukraine.Imfuno yegesi yendalo eYurophu kwiikota ezintathu zokuqala yehle nge-10% xa kuthelekiswa nexesha elifanayo kunyaka ophelileyo.
Kwangaxeshanye, imfuno yerhasi yendalo eAsia nakuMbindi noMzantsi Merika nayo yathotha.Nangona kunjalo, ingxelo ikholelwa ukuba izinto zokucotha kwemfuno kule mimandla zahlukile kwezo zaseYurophu, ikakhulu ngenxa yokuba imisebenzi yezoqoqosho ayikabuyi ngokupheleleyo.
INorth America yenye yemimandla embalwa apho imfuno yegesi yendalo iye yanda ukususela kulo nyaka - imfuno yase-United States neCanada iye yanda nge-4% kunye ne-8% ngokulandelanayo.
Ngokutsho kwedatha enikwe nguMongameli weKhomishini yaseYurophu uVon Delain ekuqaleni kuka-Oktobha, ukuxhomekeka kwe-EU kwi-gas yendalo yaseRashiya kuye kwehla ukusuka kwi-41% ekuqaleni konyaka ukuya kwi-7.5% ngoku.Nangona kunjalo, iYurophu ifezekise injongo yayo yokugcina igesi ngaphambi kwexesha xa ingenakulindela ukuba irhasi yendalo yaseRashiya iphile ebusika.Ngokutsho kwedatha ye-European Natural Gas Infrastructure (GIE), oovimba bezibonelelo ze-UGS eYurophu baye bafikelela kwi-93.61%.Ngaphambili, amazwe e-EU azibophelele ubuncinane kwi-80% yeendawo zokugcina igesi ebusika kulo nyaka kunye ne-90% kuwo onke amaxesha asebusika azayo.
Njengokuba ngexesha lokukhutshwa kweendaba, i-TTF benchmark ixabiso legesi yendalo yendalo ye-Dutch, eyaziwa ngokuba yi "wind vane" yamaxabiso egesi yendalo yaseYurophu, ibike i-99.79 euro / MWh ngoNovemba, ngaphezu kwe-70% ephantsi kunencopho ye-350 euro / MWh ngo-Agasti.
I-IEA ikholelwa ukuba ukukhula kwemarike yegesi yendalo kusacotha kwaye kukho ukungaqiniseki okukhulu.Ingxelo iqikelela ukuba ukukhula kwemfuno yegesi yendalo yehlabathi ngo-2024 kulindeleke ukuba kunciphe nge-60% xa kuthelekiswa noqikelelo lwayo lwangaphambili;Ngo-2025, imfuno yegesi yendalo yehlabathi iya kuba nomndilili wokukhula ngonyaka we-0.8% kuphela, eyi-0.9 yepesenti yamanqaku angaphantsi kunoqikelelo lwangaphambili lokukhula okuphakathi konyaka kwe-1.7%.
Ixesha lokuposa: Oct-28-2022